Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Staal 56.8% (-13.3%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 59.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Thornton
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
58.9% (1,041)
-15.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.4% (73)
-3.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Thornton
Staal
Home
41.5% (106)
59.0% (578)
Away
47.8% (69)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Thornton
Staal
P1
50.8%
57.1%
P2
41.0%
60.9%
P3
40.0%
55.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%