Joe Thornton vs Justin Abdelkader
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Abdelkader shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Abdelkader 51.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 57.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Thornton
Abdelkader
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Thornton
Abdelkader
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Abdelkader
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
0
1
Thornton
Abdelkader
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Abdelkader
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Abdelkader
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
51.5% (1,126)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.7% (69)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
51.7% (174)
+5.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abdelkader shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Home / Away
Thornton
Abdelkader
Home
55.8% (4,271)
54.5% (642)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
48.7% (735)
By Period
Thornton
Abdelkader
P1
55.0%
49.5%
P2
53.3%
51.9%
P3
54.4%
53.3%
OT
56.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |