Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Turris 50.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 76.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 67.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Thornton
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Thornton
Turris
Last 10: Thornton 8-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
7
0
Thornton
Turris
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
Thornton
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
49.5% (1,083)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
55.1% (156)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
53.7% (190)
+2.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Thornton shoots left. Turris is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
Thornton
Turris
Home
60.4% (528)
53.6% (703)
Away
52.2% (571)
47.8% (726)
By Period
Thornton
Turris
P1
58.1%
54.3%
P2
55.3%
48.3%
P3
55.0%
49.1%
OT
55.2%
56.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |