Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Turris 50.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 30-16 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 62.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 65.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 64.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Thornton
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
16
(46 meetings)
30
16
Thornton
Turris
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
13
5
Thornton
Turris
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
7
5
Thornton
Turris
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
6
Thornton
Turris
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
50.2% (7,653)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
52.4% (1,312)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
48.6% (580)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Thornton
Turris
Home
55.8% (4,271)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Thornton
Turris
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
50.8%
P3
54.4%
48.4%
OT
56.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |