Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Draisaitl 42.9% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 77.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 57.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Thornton
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Thornton
Draisaitl
Last 8: Thornton 4-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Thornton
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
41.5% (270)
+17.2%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
35.6% (45)
+22.9%
On power play, Thornton has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Thornton shoots left. Draisaitl is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Thornton
Draisaitl
Home
60.1% (496)
45.1% (164)
Away
55.8% (459)
35.8% (151)
By Period
Thornton
Draisaitl
P1
60.4%
48.1%
P2
54.7%
34.8%
P3
58.2%
39.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |