Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 57.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Thornton
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
25
(48 meetings)
23
25
Thornton
Draisaitl
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
12
Thornton
Draisaitl
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
13
6
Thornton
Draisaitl
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
7
Thornton
Draisaitl
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
52.9% (10,240)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
55.7% (2,827)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
51.2% (977)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Thornton
Draisaitl
Home
55.8% (4,271)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Thornton
Draisaitl
P1
55.0%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
54.4%
53.4%
OT
56.4%
57.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |