Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Kempe 41.0% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 90.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 79.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 83.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Thornton
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Thornton
Kempe
Last 8: Thornton 7-1 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Kempe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
38.5% (312)
+14.0%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
33.3% (3)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
35.7% (14)
+14.3%
On power play, Thornton has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Thornton shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kempe
Home
54.8% (341)
38.8% (160)
Away
50.6% (334)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Thornton
Kempe
P1
55.2%
35.9%
P2
56.5%
39.0%
P3
47.1%
38.9%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |