Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Letestu 52.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 29-24 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 59.8%
Defensive zone
Letestu 74.2%
Neutral zone
Letestu 59.4%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Thornton
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
29
(53 meetings)
24
29
Thornton
Letestu
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
15
8
Thornton
Letestu
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
18
Thornton
Letestu
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
3
Thornton
Letestu
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
53.3% (4,565)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
56.0% (687)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
44.2% (1,005)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Thornton
Letestu
Home
55.8% (4,271)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Thornton
Letestu
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
55.0%
P3
54.4%
49.8%
OT
56.4%
51.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |