Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Cullen 55.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 50.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 73.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 63.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Thornton
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thornton
Cullen
Last 6: Thornton 4-2 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Cullen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
55.1% (652)
-2.3%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
54.7% (75)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
65.7% (99)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Cullen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Thornton
Cullen
Home
54.9% (597)
55.3% (421)
Away
54.0% (643)
56.9% (422)
By Period
Thornton
Cullen
P1
53.0%
54.4%
P2
51.2%
57.3%
P3
57.8%
56.6%
OT
72.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |