Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.6%). Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Cullen 53.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 72.7%
Neutral zone
Cullen 56.7%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Thornton
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
20
(43 meetings)
23
20
Thornton
Cullen
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
14
5
Thornton
Cullen
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
4
10
Thornton
Cullen
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Thornton
Cullen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
54.8% (5,371)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
52.3% (421)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
48.0% (953)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Thornton
Cullen
Home
55.8% (4,271)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Thornton
Cullen
P1
55.0%
54.7%
P2
53.3%
52.8%
P3
54.4%
53.3%
OT
56.4%
62.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |