Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Cullen 53.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 52.4%
Defensive zone
Cullen 67.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 55.6%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Thornton
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Thornton
Cullen
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thornton
Cullen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Thornton
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
56.0% (915)
-0.2%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
43.1% (116)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
43.6% (133)
+13.1%
On power play, Thornton has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Thornton
Cullen
Home
59.0% (493)
56.9% (559)
Away
53.2% (500)
49.9% (619)
By Period
Thornton
Cullen
P1
55.3%
56.6%
P2
55.4%
51.6%
P3
57.1%
50.5%
OT
59.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |