Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 76.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Thornton
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
46.9% (162)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
73.2% (56)
-23.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Thornton
Duchene
Home
41.5% (106)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.8% (69)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Thornton
Duchene
P1
50.8%
56.9%
P2
41.0%
52.5%
P3
40.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%