Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Stajan 49.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 41-28 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 89.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 53.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 75.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Thornton
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
28
(69 meetings)
41
28
Thornton
Stajan
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
16
1
Thornton
Stajan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
8
13
Thornton
Stajan
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
17
14
Thornton
Stajan
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
43.2% (176)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
46.1% (864)
+10.6%
On power play, Thornton has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Thornton
Stajan
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Thornton
Stajan
P1
55.0%
50.3%
P2
53.3%
48.5%
P3
54.4%
49.4%
OT
56.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |