Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Talbot 48.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 60.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 75.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Thornton
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Talbot
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Thornton
Talbot
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
50.5% (642)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
33.3% (18)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
43.5% (207)
+18.5%
On power play, Thornton has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Thornton
Talbot
Home
54.9% (597)
49.9% (427)
Away
54.0% (643)
47.4% (447)
By Period
Thornton
Talbot
P1
53.0%
48.4%
P2
51.2%
48.5%
P3
57.8%
48.8%
OT
72.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |