Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Thornton wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Lapierre 52.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lapierre 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 82.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 67.2%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Thornton
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Thornton
Lapierre
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
6
Thornton
Lapierre
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
53.9% (440)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
80.0% (5)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
46.7% (137)
+4.5%
On power play, Lapierre has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Thornton shoots left. Lapierre is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Thornton
Lapierre
Home
60.1% (496)
59.2% (260)
Away
55.8% (459)
46.9% (322)
By Period
Thornton
Lapierre
P1
60.4%
52.0%
P2
54.7%
51.5%
P3
58.2%
53.3%
OT
61.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | OT | 01:11 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |