Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 19 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Lapierre 51.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 24-9 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 92.2%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 64.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 75.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Thornton
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
9
(33 meetings)
24
9
Thornton
Lapierre
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
18
1
Thornton
Lapierre
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
5
7
Thornton
Lapierre
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Lapierre
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
52.9% (2,085)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
53.1% (32)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
43.1% (415)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Thornton
Lapierre
Home
55.8% (4,271)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Thornton
Lapierre
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
53.3%
50.7%
P3
54.4%
51.1%
OT
56.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | OT | 01:11 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | OT | 03:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |