Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Backlund 50.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 66.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Thornton
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thornton
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Thornton
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
51.5% (983)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
49.4% (87)
+0.6%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Thornton
Backlund
Home
41.5% (106)
51.6% (653)
Away
47.8% (69)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Thornton
Backlund
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
41.0%
49.8%
P3
40.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |