Joe Thornton vs Mike Santorelli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 62.2%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 59.9%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 62.4%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Thornton
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Thornton
Santorelli
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Santorelli
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
5
Thornton
Santorelli
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
4
Thornton
Santorelli
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
48.4% (1,835)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
56.0% (298)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
48.5% (132)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Thornton
Santorelli
Home
55.8% (4,271)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Thornton
Santorelli
P1
55.0%
51.0%
P2
53.3%
49.7%
P3
54.4%
47.6%
OT
56.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |