Joe Thornton vs Mikhail Grabovski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Grabovski 50.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 61.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 76.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Thornton
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Thornton
Grabovski
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
1
Thornton
Grabovski
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Grabovski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
4
Thornton
Grabovski
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
50.0% (3,443)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
52.1% (459)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
45.2% (104)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Home / Away
Thornton
Grabovski
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.0% (2,090)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
49.3% (1,966)
By Period
Thornton
Grabovski
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
49.9%
P3
54.4%
50.6%
OT
56.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 14, 2014 | OT | 03:53 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |