Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.6% vs Koivu 55.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 78.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 69.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Thornton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Thornton
Koivu
Last 10: Thornton 9-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (577)
56.6% (1,247)
-4.8%
Power Play
57.7% (168)
61.6% (344)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
41.3% (167)
-3.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Thornton shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Thornton
Koivu
Home
53.0% (379)
58.1% (850)
Away
52.9% (374)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Thornton
Koivu
P1
53.3%
55.3%
P2
50.7%
57.2%
P3
54.3%
55.1%
OT
62.5%
77.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |