Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.1%). Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 36 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 57-47 in 104 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Thornton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
47
(104 meetings)
57
47
Thornton
Koivu
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
21
21
Thornton
Koivu
42 total
Defensive Zone
Even
13
13
Thornton
Koivu
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
23
13
Thornton
Koivu
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
54.0% (9,465)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
58.6% (2,100)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
48.9% (1,688)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Thornton
Koivu
Home
55.8% (4,271)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Thornton
Koivu
P1
55.0%
53.5%
P2
53.3%
54.6%
P3
54.4%
54.0%
OT
56.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |