Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Kadri 46.5% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 92.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 92.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 92.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Thornton
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Thornton
Kadri
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
0
Thornton
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
2
Thornton
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
2
Thornton
Kadri
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
47.2% (1,015)
+11.5%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
41.1% (112)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
17.6% (17)
+33.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Thornton shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kadri
Home
60.1% (496)
45.4% (573)
Away
55.8% (459)
46.9% (571)
By Period
Thornton
Kadri
P1
60.4%
48.9%
P2
54.7%
45.2%
P3
58.2%
43.4%
OT
61.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |