Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Kadri 48.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 65.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 72.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 71.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Thornton
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
16
(37 meetings)
21
16
Thornton
Kadri
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
5
Thornton
Kadri
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Thornton
Kadri
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
6
Thornton
Kadri
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
48.2% (12,510)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
53.0% (1,892)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
41.0% (293)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kadri
Home
55.8% (4,271)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Thornton
Kadri
P1
55.0%
49.2%
P2
53.3%
48.8%
P3
54.4%
48.0%
OT
56.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |