Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 39-27 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 84.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 69.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Thornton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
27
(66 meetings)
39
27
Thornton
Bonino
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
15
8
Thornton
Bonino
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
13
14
Thornton
Bonino
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
11
5
Thornton
Bonino
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
50.6% (8,315)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
54.1% (972)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
44.6% (1,693)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bonino
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Thornton
Bonino
P1
55.0%
50.6%
P2
53.3%
48.5%
P3
54.4%
51.1%
OT
56.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |