Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Paul 50.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 77.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Thornton
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Thornton
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Thornton
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
53.0% (644)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
37.5% (24)
+12.5%
On power play, Thornton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Thornton
Paul
Home
41.5% (106)
52.5% (516)
Away
47.8% (69)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Thornton
Paul
P1
50.8%
47.6%
P2
41.0%
48.4%
P3
40.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |