Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 77.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 75.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 78.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Thornton
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Thornton
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Thornton
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
63.8% (1,102)
-20.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
65.3% (288)
-15.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bergeron
Home
41.5% (106)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.8% (69)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Thornton
Bergeron
P1
50.8%
62.5%
P2
41.0%
62.7%
P3
40.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |