Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-12.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 50.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 54.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Thornton
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
59.2% (370)
-15.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
40.9% (44)
+9.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Thornton
Stastny
Home
41.5% (106)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.8% (69)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Thornton
Stastny
P1
50.8%
57.7%
P2
41.0%
54.2%
P3
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%