Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Holland 45.9% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 66.3%
Defensive zone
Holland 57.7%
Neutral zone
Holland 65.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Thornton
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Thornton
Holland
Last 8: Thornton 3-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Thornton
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
2
3
Thornton
Holland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
43.4% (196)
+13.6%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
57.1% (7)
+6.9%
On even strength, Thornton has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Holland is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Thornton
Holland
Home
56.7% (353)
49.2% (130)
Away
60.3% (348)
34.2% (73)
By Period
Thornton
Holland
P1
59.3%
48.1%
P2
60.1%
39.3%
P3
57.1%
42.6%
Final 5 min
58.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |