Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Holland 45.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 81.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 52.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 70.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Thornton
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Thornton
Holland
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Holland
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Thornton
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
4
Thornton
Holland
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
45.6% (2,232)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
52.4% (126)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
42.3% (137)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Thornton
Holland
Home
55.8% (4,271)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Thornton
Holland
P1
55.0%
46.1%
P2
53.3%
47.3%
P3
54.4%
43.9%
OT
56.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |