Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Peverley 58.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 66.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 66.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 66.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Thornton
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thornton
Peverley
Last 8: Thornton 2-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Thornton
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Thornton
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
62.8% (414)
-7.7%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
54.2% (96)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
52.2% (69)
+3.9%
On even strength, Peverley has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Thornton shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Thornton
Peverley
Home
60.4% (528)
63.9% (324)
Away
52.2% (571)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Thornton
Peverley
P1
58.1%
63.3%
P2
55.3%
60.1%
P3
55.0%
58.0%
OT
55.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |