Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Peverley 57.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 64.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 68.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Thornton
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thornton
Peverley
Last 8: Thornton 2-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Thornton
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Thornton
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
58.0% (1,715)
-4.5%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
57.0% (391)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
59.2% (333)
-2.5%
On even strength, Peverley has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Thornton
Peverley
Home
55.8% (4,271)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Thornton
Peverley
P1
55.0%
59.6%
P2
53.3%
57.8%
P3
54.4%
57.0%
OT
56.4%
51.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |