Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Nash 51.7% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 74.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 78.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Thornton
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
54.1% (292)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On even strength, Nash has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nash
Home
41.5% (106)
56.3% (183)
Away
47.8% (69)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Thornton
Nash
P1
50.8%
58.9%
P2
41.0%
51.0%
P3
40.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%