Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Getzlaf 53.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 63.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 73.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 76.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Thornton
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thornton
Getzlaf
Last 7: Thornton 6-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
54.3% (879)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
62.8% (78)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.9% (57)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Thornton shoots left. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Thornton
Getzlaf
Home
54.8% (341)
56.6% (535)
Away
50.6% (334)
51.8% (479)
By Period
Thornton
Getzlaf
P1
55.2%
55.6%
P2
56.5%
55.7%
P3
47.1%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |