Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 38 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 77-72 in 149 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 57.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 59.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 52.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Thornton
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
77
-
72
(149 meetings)
77
72
Thornton
Getzlaf
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
21
17
Thornton
Getzlaf
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
25
24
Thornton
Getzlaf
49 total
Neutral Zone
Even
31
31
Thornton
Getzlaf
62 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
49.6% (10,258)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
54.9% (1,381)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
44.8% (1,055)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Thornton
Getzlaf
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Thornton
Getzlaf
P1
55.0%
49.2%
P2
53.3%
50.4%
P3
54.4%
49.7%
OT
56.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |