Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Johansen 52.4% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 54.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Thornton
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
49.4% (1,010)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.3% (236)
-12.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Thornton
Johansen
Home
41.5% (106)
54.7% (655)
Away
47.8% (69)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Thornton
Johansen
P1
50.8%
52.2%
P2
41.0%
50.7%
P3
40.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%