Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 69.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Thornton
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Thornton
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Thornton
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
56.6% (1,064)
-13.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.4% (260)
-10.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Thornton
O'Reilly
Home
41.5% (106)
54.9% (801)
Away
47.8% (69)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Thornton
O'Reilly
P1
50.8%
58.0%
P2
41.0%
56.7%
P3
40.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |