Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Smyth 46.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 76.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 62.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Thornton
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thornton
Smyth
Last 5: Thornton 3-2 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
2
Thornton
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Smyth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
40.0% (90)
+15.8%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
63.0% (46)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
8.3% (12)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Smyth is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Thornton
Smyth
Home
59.0% (493)
47.1% (68)
Away
53.2% (500)
41.5% (82)
By Period
Thornton
Smyth
P1
55.3%
45.8%
P2
55.4%
40.4%
P3
57.1%
45.8%
OT
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
30.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |