Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Couturier 47.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.7%
Defensive zone
Thornton 62.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 84.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Thornton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thornton
Couturier
Last 7: Thornton 6-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
48.5% (1,067)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
51.0% (51)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
43.4% (235)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Couturier is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Thornton
Couturier
Home
60.4% (528)
49.4% (620)
Away
52.2% (571)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Thornton
Couturier
P1
58.1%
47.1%
P2
55.3%
50.4%
P3
55.0%
45.5%
OT
55.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |