Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Couturier 52.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 59.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 74.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Thornton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
21
(47 meetings)
26
21
Thornton
Couturier
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
9
5
Thornton
Couturier
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
7
Thornton
Couturier
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
12
9
Thornton
Couturier
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
52.5% (11,063)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
59.7% (1,280)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
48.5% (1,816)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Thornton
Couturier
Home
55.8% (4,271)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Thornton
Couturier
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
53.3%
52.6%
P3
54.4%
52.9%
OT
56.4%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |