Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Monahan 51.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Thornton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Monahan
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
50.2% (1,117)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
55.5% (283)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
56.8% (44)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Thornton
Monahan
Home
54.9% (355)
50.1% (731)
Away
47.1% (382)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Thornton
Monahan
P1
46.0%
51.3%
P2
52.5%
50.3%
P3
55.6%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |