Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Thornton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thornton
Monahan
Last 5: Thornton 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
51.5% (641)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.8% (129)
-12.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Thornton
Monahan
Home
41.5% (106)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.8% (69)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Thornton
Monahan
P1
50.8%
48.0%
P2
41.0%
57.0%
P3
40.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |