Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 49.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 58.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 73.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 66.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Thornton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thornton
Monahan
Last 5: Thornton 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Thornton
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Thornton
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (583)
52.1% (858)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.5% (59)
55.9% (177)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
33.3% (9)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Thornton shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Thornton
Monahan
Home
51.6% (341)
52.6% (504)
Away
47.0% (313)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Thornton
Monahan
P1
53.9%
56.7%
P2
46.9%
52.1%
P3
47.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |