Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Dries 47.1% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 53.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 57.8%
Neutral zone
Dries 56.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Thornton
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Thornton
Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Dries
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
35.3% (17)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Dries is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Thornton
Dries
Home
41.5% (106)
26.3% (19)
Away
47.8% (69)
100.0% (2)
By Period
Thornton
Dries
P1
50.8%
14.3%
P2
41.0%
57.1%
P3
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Dries
46.0%▼
50.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |