Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 51.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Thornton
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thornton
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Thornton
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
49.3% (789)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.9% (181)
-6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Thornton
Stamkos
Home
41.5% (106)
52.0% (512)
Away
47.8% (69)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Thornton
Stamkos
P1
50.8%
42.1%
P2
41.0%
56.4%
P3
40.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |