Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Nosek 56.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 62.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 61.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Thornton
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thornton
Nosek
Last 6: Thornton 2-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Thornton
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Thornton
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
63.4% (112)
-10.9%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
50.0% (6)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
57.1% (14)
-7.1%
On even strength, Nosek has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Thornton shoots left. Nosek is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nosek
Home
54.8% (341)
56.7% (67)
Away
50.6% (334)
67.7% (65)
By Period
Thornton
Nosek
P1
55.2%
57.5%
P2
56.5%
65.5%
P3
47.1%
61.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
71.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |