Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Nosek 53.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 75.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 65.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Thornton
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Thornton
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Thornton
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Thornton
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
55.1% (557)
-11.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Nosek has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nosek
Home
41.5% (106)
52.3% (342)
Away
47.8% (69)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Thornton
Nosek
P1
50.8%
49.0%
P2
41.0%
53.8%
P3
40.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |