Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 28-19 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 58.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 80.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 65.0%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Thornton
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
28
(47 meetings)
19
28
Thornton
Plekanec
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
5
Thornton
Plekanec
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
14
Thornton
Plekanec
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
11
9
Thornton
Plekanec
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
50.8% (8,558)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
51.3% (1,151)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
46.0% (1,924)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Thornton
Plekanec
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Thornton
Plekanec
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
53.3%
48.9%
P3
54.4%
49.0%
OT
56.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |