Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Bozak 46.2% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 65.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 60.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Thornton
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
46.7% (338)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bozak
Home
41.5% (106)
47.9% (194)
Away
47.8% (69)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Thornton
Bozak
P1
50.8%
40.2%
P2
41.0%
51.4%
P3
40.0%
43.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%