Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Fiddler 50.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 84.1%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 61.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 73.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Thornton
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Thornton
Fiddler
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
51.3% (840)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
60.0% (15)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
47.8% (186)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Fiddler is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Thornton
Fiddler
Home
59.0% (493)
53.0% (530)
Away
53.2% (500)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Thornton
Fiddler
P1
55.3%
53.3%
P2
55.4%
50.4%
P3
57.1%
48.2%
OT
59.3%
85.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |