Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 47-37 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 82.7%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 76.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 53.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Thornton
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
37
(84 meetings)
47
37
Thornton
Fiddler
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
22
5
Thornton
Fiddler
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
7
23
Thornton
Fiddler
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
18
9
Thornton
Fiddler
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
53.7% (4,899)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
50.0% (154)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
46.9% (1,479)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Thornton
Fiddler
Home
55.8% (4,271)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Thornton
Fiddler
P1
55.0%
52.1%
P2
53.3%
52.6%
P3
54.4%
52.0%
OT
56.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |